Advertising has been the lifeblood of the media industry for over a century, shaping how we consume information and influencing the products we buy. From the early days of print ads in newspapers to the golden age of TV commercials to the precise targeting with digital channels, advertising has always been at the forefront of technological innovation. But now, a new force is shaking up the industry again: AI-powered tools like Bing's ChatGPT and Google's Bard. With the ability to generate information instantly, these tools are poised to change how we search, consume, and interact with content.

In short, for those who don't know, Bing's ChatGPT and Google's Bard are AI-powered tools that generate information instantly in response to user queries. They are similar to Google's Instant Answers, which provides brief answers to user questions directly on the search results page. However, ChatGPT and Bard go a step further by providing more in-depth and natural language responses, generating essay-like or blog-like answers in seconds, potentially reducing the need for users to click through websites for information.
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What Does the Impact Look Like, Quantified?

Ad revenue for publishers and websites has been declining for many years. Google has reduced income for websites by providing instant results through features like Featured Snippets, Knowledge Panels, and Instant Answers, as these allow users to find the information they need without clicking on a website. This has resulted in a decrease in website traffic and, as a result, a reduction in ad impressions and ad revenue for those websites. Online publishers such as Forbes, Wired, and Business Insiders responded by putting their content behind a paywall to monetize their most loyal readers.

To put into context how much ad revenue could be lost if ChatGPT-like searches become dominant, ads that appear on Google's Partner Network (web publications) are their second-biggest income source, representing 12.3% of their total income ($31.7 billion) in 2021. Of the 150+ billion search queries on Google in Q1 of 2019, only 41.45% of searches led to a click to a non-Google website. Almost half of the searches got resolved (users got the answer) without any clicking. As features like Instant Answers improve with AI, less and less traffic would be directed to non-Google sites like the online publications mentioned, thus reducing ad revenue for and from these partnered sites.

While this may seem like a conflict of interest for search engines, according to the Head of Microsoft Devices and Search, of the 10 billion search queries that happen on Bing, half of them go unanswered, meaning the sites are not providing information users are looking for. This could be drastically improved with AI chatbots, changing how we get information on the internet and thus sparking an AI race between the search engines.

Breaking Down the Limitations

While ChatGPT can generate high-quality article-like responses to your specific questions and allows follow-up questions, one major limitation is that users would not know where the information is coming from. This is addressed with another similar AI tool called Perplexity.ai, in which the answers come with links to the sources the answer is based on. 

This model may be better suited for search engines to ensure the accuracy and credibility of the information and allow further investigation of how the data is collected or measured. This limitation could be solved over time as the AI gets trained on more data and enable external data from credible sources to be cited.

As a result, with the limitations removed, we can soon expect a search experience that is more in-depth and tailored. Just imagine chatting with an experienced professor about Physics, and you can keep asking them questions without them getting tired or irritated.
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The Bright Side, Benefits for Advertisers and Publishers

Time to evolve! As the introduction mentions, advertisers and publishers are not strangers to change. The shift in search and advancement in AI could unlock more creativity and innovation in the industry. 

For advertisers, tools like DALL-E, an AI tool that creates images through prompts, it is not hard to imagine AI-created video ads that are personalized to a user's search history, location, and other factors. These AI-generated videos could also be trained to optimize for triggering emotions or purchasing impulses. 

For publishers, AI tools could help them find new ways to create engaging content or streamline their workflow. For example, publishers could use a piece of writing and ask ChatGPT to convert them into video scripts, video shorts, Twitter threads, and such, thus saving them time and expanding their revenue source.

Key Takeaways

In conclusion, the impact of ChatGPT and Bard on the marketing industry is not yet fully understood, but the possibilities for advertisers and web publishers are vast. 

In the meantime, AI tools will not replace advertisers and publishers. For example, people asking ChatGPT to generate a marketing plan for their business will still need a base understanding of marketing tactics and strategies to know what would be effective and it gets even more complex when having to implement tactics.

With the potential for more personalized and efficient ads, the future of advertising looks bright, but the industry must adapt to this new technological shift.
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